Trade Performance for Year 2023 and December 2023
Trade Performance For Year 2023 And December 2023 #
In 2023, global trade continued to expand at a slower pace, weighed down by several factors including lower commodity prices, geopolitical uncertainties, high inflation rate and downcycle in the semiconductor sector. Weak commodity prices continued to affect trade performance, notably for crude palm oil, crude petroleum and liquefied natural gas (LNG). Geopolitical uncertainties such as the United States (US)-China, Russia-Ukraine and Middle East conflicts also took a toll on the global economy and dampened demand for Malaysian products while high global inflation eroded consumer purchasing power in importing countries.
Despite the challenging global economic landscape, Malaysia’s trade last year exceeded RM2 trillion mark for three consecutive years and sustained its surplus trend for 26 successive years since 1998. Exports surpassed RM1 trillion for the third year in a row and achieved 82.4% of the target set for 2025 under the Mid-Term Review of the Twelfth Malaysia Plan (12MP). Meanwhile, imports posted another milestone by crossing RM1 trillion mark for the second time. The nation’s trade performance also realised the forecast published in the Economic Outlook 2024 by the Ministry of Finance (MOF) with trade, exports and imports achieving 100.1%, 99.7% and 100.5% of the projection, respectively.
Despite the weak export performance, year 2023 witnessed the growth of Malaysia’s exports to emerging markets notably Kenya, Brazil, Nigeria, Tanzania, Yemen, Morocco, Puerto Rico, Namibia and Kyrgyzstan. Exports to selected Free Trade Agreement (FTA) markets recorded expansion namely the Republic of Korea (ROK), Australia, Mexico, Türkiye and New Zealand despite overall exports to FTA partners registered decreases. Coupled with improvement in global trade, FTAs notably the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) are expected to add to the positive outlook of Malaysia’s external trade. In addition, the New Industrial Master Plan 2030 (NIMP 2030) emphasises on enhancing utilisation of FTAs among Malaysian exporters.
Malaysia’s exports in 2023 was dominated by electrical and electronic (E&E) products which accounted for 40.4% share of total exports, recording a contraction compared to the previous year. Despite the downcycle in global semiconductor sector, the country’s exports of semiconductor devices and integrated circuits (ICs) attained positive growth.
Moving forward, the government will continue to enhance the promotion of international trade to reinforce business resilience and sustain economic growth momentum. This will be supported by initiatives under the 12MP, the National Trade Blueprint (NTBp) and the NIMP 2030.
TRADE PERFORMANCE FOR 2023
Malaysia Sustains Trade Surplus for 26 Years, as Trade Surpasses RM2 Trillion Mark for Third Consecutive Year
In 2023, Malaysia’s trade exceeded RM2 trillion for the third consecutive year to reach RM2.637 trillion, decreased by 7.3% compared to 2022 in tandem with slower global demand, lower commodity prices, geopolitical uncertainties, high inflation rate, downcycle in the semiconductor sector and high base effect last year.
Exports contracted by 8% to RM1.426 trillion and despite the decline, this was the third successive year that exports exceeded RM1 trillion and achieved 82.4% of target set for 2025 under the Mid-Term Review of the 12MP. Meanwhile, imports in 2023 posted another milestone by crossing RM1 trillion mark for the second time, weakened by 6.4% to RM1.212 trillion compared to 2022. Malaysia continued to register trade surplus for 26th successive year since 1998, amounting to RM214.1 billion.
The challenging global economic landscape in 2023 has adversely impacted international trade including Malaysia’s trade performance which experienced a contraction. This was in line with other key trading partners notably China, Taiwan RoC, the ROK and Indonesia which also posted negative trade growth.
Trade Performance with Major Markets
In 2023, Malaysia’s major trading partners were ASEAN, China, the US, the European Union (EU) and Japan, representing 67.7% share of Malaysia’s total trade.
ASEAN Remained as Malaysia’s Key Trading Partner
ASEAN remained a key trading partner for Malaysia, taking up 27.3% of Malaysia’s total trade in 2023. Trade with ASEAN amounted to RM720.66 billion, a decrease of 6.5% compared to last year.
Exports to ASEAN dipped by 7.2% to RM420.3 billion following lesser demand for E&E products, petroleum products, chemicals and chemical products as well as palm oil and palm oil-based agriculture products. Nonetheless, the contraction was softened by positive export growth of non-metallic mineral products, crude petroleum, processed food and jewellery.
Breakdown of exports to ASEAN countries:
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Singapore |
RM219.33 billion, decreased by 5.7%, y-o-y; |
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Thailand |
RM58.71 billion, ↓10.7%; |
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Viet Nam |
RM52.01 billion, ↓3.0%; |
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Indonesia |
RM50.91 billion, ↓8.7%; |
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Philippines |
RM26.45 billion, ↓6.3%; |
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Brunei |
RM6.40 billion, ↓16.3%; |
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Myanmar |
RM4.00 billion, ↓32.9%; |
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Cambodia |
RM2.35 billion, ↑1.6%; and |
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Lao PDR |
RM135.1 million, ↓85.7%. |
The top three export destinations within ASEAN in 2023 were Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam which accounted for 78.5% of Malaysia’s total exports to the region. Exports to all ASEAN countries recorded a decline except Cambodia. Exports to Cambodia rose by RM36.9 million attributed to larger exports of metalliferous ores and metal scrap.
Imports from ASEAN fell by 5.6% to RM300.36 billion with main imports were E&E products, petroleum products as well as chemicals and chemical products.
China – the 15th Consecutive Year as Largest Trading Partner
In 2023, China continued to be Malaysia’s largest trading partner for 15 consecutive years since 2009, taking up 17.1% share of Malaysia’s total trade. Trade with China fell by 7.3% to RM450.84 billion from the preceding year.
Exports shrank by 8.7% to RM192.21 billion following lower exports of E&E products, palm oil and palm oil-based agriculture products as well as iron and steel products.
Nevertheless, export growth was recorded for paper and pulp products, metalliferous ores and metal scrap, processed food as well as petroleum condensates and other petroleum oil.
China was also Malaysia’s largest import source, absorbing 21.3% share of total imports. Imports from China declined by 6.2% to RM258.63 billion with major imports comprising E&E products, machinery, equipment and parts as well as chemicals and chemical products.
Exports to the US Recorded the Second Highest Value Thus Far
In 2023, trade with the US, Malaysia’s third largest trading partner since year 2015, declined by 6.5% to RM250.25 billion compared to 2022 and made up 9.5% of Malaysia’s total trade.
Exports to the US in 2023 recorded the second highest value thus far to reach RM161.3 billion, declining by 3.5% due to lower exports of wood products, rubber products as well as iron and steel products. However, the impact of the contraction was cushioned mainly by higher exports of E&E products which accounted for 62.8% share of Malaysia total exports to the country. Other products that recorded increases were transport equipment, non-metallic mineral products as well as optical and scientific equipment.
Imports from the US edged down by 11.4% to RM88.96 billion with the main imports being E&E products, transport equipment as well as machinery, equipment and parts.
The EU – Exports of E&E Products Continued to Increase
Trade with the EU in 2023 which constituted 7.8% of Malaysia’s total trade eased by
4.4% to RM206.69 billion from last year.
Exports fell by 10.5% to RM112.88 billion on lower exports of palm oil and palm oilbased agriculture products, rubber products and petroleum products. Nevertheless, the decrease was offset by robust exports of E&E products, processed food, other vegetable oil as well as paper and pulp products.
Within the EU, the top 10 markets which accounted for 91.7% of Malaysia’s total exports to the region were:
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Netherlands |
RM35.85 billion, decreased by 14.5%, y-o-y; |
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Germany |
RM30.56 billion, ↑1.8%; |
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Belgium |
RM9.34 billion, ↑3.8%; |
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Italy |
RM6.28 billion, ↓25.5%; |
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France |
RM6.12 billion, ↓29.5%; |
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Spain |
RM5.65 billion, ↓0.9%; |
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Poland |
RM3.21 billion, ↓15.0%; |
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Czech Republic |
RM2.64 billion, ↓26.8%; |
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Hungary |
RM2.38 billion, ↓4.6%; and |
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Sweden |
RM1.44 billion, ↓30.2%. |
Exports to the EU major markets that recorded growth were Germany which grew by RM532.3 million and Belgium which increased by RM343.8 million, following robust exports of E&E products.
Imports from the EU climbed by 4% to RM93.81 billion with the main imports namely, E&E products, chemicals and chemical products as well as machinery, equipment and parts.
Japan – Fourth Largest Trading Partner Since 2015
In 2023, Japan remained as Malaysia’s fourth largest trading partner for nine successive years since 2015. Trade with Japan which contributed 5.9% to Malaysia’s total trade, shrank by 13.8% to RM156.64 billion from the previous year.
Exports flipped by 13.1% to RM85.7 billion due to lower demand for LNG, E&E products as well as petroleum products, meanwhile higher shipments was seen for crude petroleum, optical and scientific equipment, processed food as well as textiles, apparels and footwear.
Imports from Japan dropped by 14.6% to RM70.94 billion and main imports was led by E&E products, machinery, equipment and parts as well as transport equipment.
Trade with FTA Partners
Malaysia has signed 16 regional and bilateral FTAs, allowing exports to enjoy preferential market access with lower tariffs. In 2023, trade with FTA partners was valued at RM1.776 trillion or 67.4% of Malaysia’s total trade, decreased by 7.2% as opposed to 2022.
Exports to FTA partners contributed 69.6% share or RM992.81 billion of total exports, contracted by 7.1%. Major export products were E&E products, petroleum products, chemicals and chemical products, LNG as well as manufactures of metal which contributed 66.1% of Malaysia’s total exports to FTA markets.
Despite the contraction, exports to several FTA markets recorded growth, notably the ROK, Australia, Mexico, Türkiye and New Zealand. Exports to these markets recorded the highest value thus far. Exports to the ROK, expanded by 1.8% to RM55.88 billion, Australia (↑3.8% to RM49.9 billion), Mexico (↑12% to RM18.72 billion) and New Zealand (↑7.5% to RM7.38 billion), boosted by strong exports of petroleum products, respectively. Meanwhile, exports to Türkiye edged up by 0.8% to RM17.53 billion bolstered by greater exports of iron and steel products.
Imports from FTA partners was down by 7.3% to RM783.49 billion with main imports comprising E&E products, petroleum products as well as chemicals and chemical products.
Expansion in Exports to Emerging Markets
In 2023, several emerging markets registered export expansion, notably Kenya, Brazil, Nigeria, Tanzania, Yemen, Morocco, Puerto Rico, Namibia and Kyrgyzstan.
Exports to Kenya rose by 6.4% to RM5.4 billion, Brazil (↑7.2% to RM5 billion), Nigeria (↑1.4% to RM2.37 billion) and Namibia (↑322.6% to RM215.4 million), supported by strong exports of petroleum products, respectively. Exports to Tanzania expanded by 13.9% to RM2.03 billion, Yemen (↑66.8% to RM1.11 billion) and Morocco (↑24.8% to RM624.2 million), following robust exports of palm oil and palm oil-based agriculture products.
Meanwhile, exports to Puerto Rico grew by 177.9% to RM399.8 million and exports to Kyrgyzstan surged by 317.2% to RM161.1 million, backed by increased exports of E&E products.
Export Performance of Major Sectors
Exports of Manufactured Goods Surpassed RM1 Trillion for Three Successive Years
In 2023, exports of manufactured goods surpassed RM1 trillion mark for three successive years, reaching RM1.217 trillion or 85.4% of Malaysia’s total exports. This was a decrease of 6.7% from 2022, following lower exports of petroleum products, E&E products, palm oil-based manufactured products as well as chemicals and chemical products. Nonetheless, export expansion was registered for processed food, paper and pulp products, non-metallic mineral products, beverages and tobacco as well as jewellery.
The top five manufactured products which accounted for 63.4% of Malaysia’s total exports were:
- E&E products, decreased by 3% to RM575.45 billion;
- Petroleum products, ↓11% to RM143.49 billion;
- Chemicals and chemical products; ↓11.3% to RM71.46 billion; • Machinery, equipment and parts, ↓5.2% to RM57.28 billion; and
- Manufactures of metal, ↓11.4% to RM56.33 billion.
E&E products held the biggest share of total exports at 40.4%, declined by 3% to RM575.45 billion. Despite the contraction, exports of semiconductor devices and ICs increased by 0.03% to RM387.45 billion.
E&E products that recorded significant export growth in 2023 were:
- Photosensitive semiconductor devices, increased by 15.6% to RM30.18 billion;
- Batteries and electric accumulators, ↑14.3% to RM8.5 billion;
- Static converters, ↑21.8% to RM5.37 billion;
- Electric control panels and parts for switching apparatus and electric control panels, ↑6.8% to RM10.35 billion; and
- Parts for diodes, transistors, piezoelectric crystals and other semiconductor devices, ↑9.5% to RM6.91 billion.
Mining Goods – Absorbed 7.4% Share of Total Exports
In 2023, exports of mining goods which absorbed 7.4% share of total exports edged down by 10.1% to RM105.46 billion compared to 2022, attributed to lesser shipments of LNG and crude petroleum.
Agriculture Goods – Lower Prices Affected Palm Oil Exports
In 2023, exports of agriculture goods which took up 6.6% share of total exports weakened by 22.1% to RM94.24 billion from the previous year. The decrease was mainly due to reduced exports of palm oil and palm oil-based agriculture products amid lower prices of palm oil.
Performance of Imports
Imports of Capital and Consumption Goods Recorded Expansion
In 2023, Malaysia’s total imports eased by 6.4% to RM1.212 trillion compared to 2022. The three main categories of imports by end use which accounted for 70.5% of total imports in 2023 were:
- Intermediate goods, valued at RM620.87 billion or 51.2% share of total imports, decreased by 12.1%, due to lower imports of parts and accessories of non-transport capital goods;
- Capital goods, amounted to RM128.83 billion or 10.6% of total imports, grew by 7.2%, on account of higher imports of non-transport capital goods; and
- Consumption goods, totalled RM104.1 billion or 8.6% of total imports, expanded by 0.1%, as a result of growing imports of processed food and beverages mainly for household consumption.
China remained as the largest import source since 2011, followed by Singapore, the US, Taiwan RoC and Japan. These markets contributed 53.3% to Malaysia’s total imports. Meanwhile, imports from ASEAN totaled RM300.36 billion or 24.8% share of Malaysia’s total imports and imports from the EU amounted to RM93.81 billion with a share of 7.7%.
TRADE PERFORMANCE FOR DECEMBER 2023
44th Consecutive Month of Trade Surplus
In December 2023, Malaysia recorded the 44th consecutive month of trade surplus since May 2020, amounting to RM11.8 billion. Exports edged down by 10% year-onyear (y-o-y) to RM118.45 billion while imports recorded the highest monthly value in the month of December, rising by 2.9% to RM106.66 billion. Subsequently, trade was recorded lower compared to 2022, contracting by 4.3% to RM225.11 billion.
Compared to November 2023, trade, exports, imports and trade surplus dipped by 2.6%, 2.7%, 2.6% and 3.6%, respectively.
Export Performance of Major Sectors
Manufactured Goods Dominated Exports
In December 2023, exports of manufactured goods which absorbed 83.6% of total exports declined by 10.3% y-o-y to RM99.01 billion as lower exports was recorded for E&E products, petroleum products, transport equipment as well as chemicals and chemical products. However, exports of iron and steel products, paper and pulp products, processed food, jewellery as well as non-metallic mineral products recorded increases.
Exports of mining goods registered the second positive growth in a row, rising by 9.1% y-o-y to RM10.37 billion (8.8% share). This was also the highest monthly export value recorded this year. The export expansion was due to higher shipments of crude petroleum as well as petroleum condensates and other petroleum oil.
Exports of agriculture goods (6.9% share) was down by 25.9% y-o-y to RM8.17 billion compared to December 2022 attributed mainly to lesser exports of palm oil and palm oil-based agriculture products amid lower prices of palm oil.
Compared to November 2023, exports of mining goods edged up by 2% while exports of manufactured and agriculture goods shrank by 3.3% and 2.1%, respectively.
Performance of Imports
Imports Recorded Second Consecutive Month of Positive Growth in December
In December 2023, imports registered the highest monthly value in the month of December, rising by 2.9% y-o-y to RM106.66 bilion, the second consecutive month of positive growth. Imports of intermediate goods grew by 10.1% to RM59.96 billion, capital goods (↑24.6% to RM12.38 billion) and consumption goods (↓0.7% to RM9.2 billion).
TRADE PERFORMANCE FOR FOURTH QUARTER 2023
The Highest Import Value for the Fourth Quarter
Total trade for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2023 amounted to RM695.63 billion, a decrease of 3.2% from Q4 of 2022. Exports dipped by 6.9% to RM366.28 billion. Imports recorded the highest quarterly value for the fourth quarter thus far, expanding by 1.3% to RM329.35 billion. This resulted in a trade surplus of RM36.93 billion, a contraction of 45.9%.
However, compared to the third quarter (Q3) of 2023, trade, exports and imports expanded by 6.5%, 2.8% and 10.8%, respectively while trade surplus reduced by 37.3%.
TRADE OUTLOOK FOR 2024
Malaysia’s trade performance is expected to recover in year 2024 in tandem with the outlook by the World Trade Organization (WTO) which anticipated global trade to grow by 3.3%.
In 2024, Malaysia’s trade is expected to grow by 5% while exports and imports are estimated to increase by 5.1% and 4.9%, respectively based on the Economic Outlook 2024 published by the MOF.
Continuous demand for E&E products this year will be supported by an upcycle trend in the sector aligned with the projection made by World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) that global semiconductor sales to rebound by 13.1% in 2024. In terms of market expansion, utilisation of FTAs particularly RCEP and the CPTPP will be crucial in facilitating Malaysian products’ access into wider markets as it will boost export growth as emphasised in the NIMP 2030 which also focuses on high value and high impact sectors.
Nevertheless, global trade may still be impacted by key factors such as global uncertainties arising from prolonged geopolitical tensions, exporters’ ability and readiness in meeting environmental, social and governance (ESG) market demands, disruption in global supply chains and uncertainties in commodity prices. Additionally, 2024 will also be a year of significant political changes, with major elections scheduled to take place in our key trading partners notably the US, the ROK, Indonesia and India which could have a significant impact on trade and international relations.
# Notes:
- It should be noted that, conceptually, the export and import figures in the external trade statistics are different from that in the goods account of the balance of payments compilation. The compilation of international merchandise trade statistics is usually based on customs records, which essentially reflect the physical movement of goods across borders, and follow international guidelines on concepts and definitions i.e. International Merchandise Trade Statistics: Concepts and Definitions 2010 (IMTS 2010) which is different from the principles of the System of National Accounts (SNA) and the Balance of Payments Compilation. Goods are defined in the SNA as “physical objects for which a demand exists, over which ownership rights can be established and whose ownership can be transferred from one institutional unit to another by engaging in transactions on markets”.
- “This is a preliminary release, full details would be published in the “MONTHLY EXTERNAL TRADE STATISTICS” report by the Department of Statistics, Malaysia, to be disseminated on Friday, 26th January 2024 and can be downloaded through statistic at the Department of Statistics, Malaysia’s portal (https://newss.statistics.gov.my/newss-portalx/ep/epLogin.seam).
- This media release can be accessed through the portal of Malaysian External Trade Statistics, Ministry of International Trade and Industry (http://www.miti.gov.my) and Malaysia External Trade Development Corporation (http://www.matrade.gov.my).
- The December 2023 data is provisional and subject to revision in later issue.
- With effect from reference month April 2018, selection of codes for exports and imports of palm oil and palm oil-based products has been reviewed and revised for better representation of the product and this has resulted in some changes to the data.
- FTA partners comprises of 22 countries: China, Singapore, Japan, Thailand, Republic of Korea, Indonesia, India, Australia, Viet Nam, Philippines, New Zealand, Türkiye, Pakistan, Myanmar, Cambodia, Brunei, Chile, Lao PDR, Hong Kong SAR, Canada, Mexico and Peru.
- With effect from reference month of February 2020, the United Kingdom no longer be a Member State of the European Union (EU).
- Commencing from reference month of June 2022, Harmonised Commodity description and Coding system 2022 (HS2022) also known as Customs Duties Order (PDK) 2022 was used for the processing of external trade statistics (merchandise). This coding classification replaced the HS2017 which were in use from April 2017 to May 2022. However, for Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) Rev.4 is still in use with appropriate update.
- Total figure may not add up due to rounding.